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铂金明年可能出现410,000盎司供应缺口  发帖心情 Post By:2009-12-19 19:03:28

财华社深圳新闻中心

    法国巴黎银行(BNPParibas)周二称,铂金市场2010年可能出现410,000盎司供应缺口,而2009年估计将有155,000盎司供应过剩。    

    该行将2010年铂价平均预期值从此前的1,350美元/盎司上调至1,410美元/盎司,因预计珠宝和投资需求都将增强。     

    该行估计2010年的汽车催化剂用铂量将较2009年反弹21%,至3,000,000盎司,但仍显着低于2007年危机前的4,145,000盎司,这主要是受发达经济体高失业率和依然紧张的信贷状况拖累。

    但该行估计2009年珠宝业对铂的需求将增至2,450,000盎司,2008年为1,350,000盎司,主要因亚洲(尤其是中国)消费者需求的增长。    

    在2009年上半年,受价格较低以及零售额强劲增长的刺激,中国珠宝业对铂的需求尤其强劲。  

    该行预计2010年珠宝业对铂的需求水平将相差无几,基本上能完全抵消汽车催化剂行业对铂需求的疲软影响。   

    由于2010年的利率水平仍将较低,该行预计铂投资需求将依旧强劲,但随着超常规货币政策措施逐渐被解除,铂的投资需求可能会有所减弱。     

    根据该报告称,在供应方面,铂的产量仍将受到严重抑制。估计2010年产量为7,000,000盎司,与2007年的水平相当。



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